Hopes of SNP majority hang in the balance, warns poll

THE SNP and Nicola Sturgeon look set to convincingly win the upcoming Holyrood elections in May but are at risk of failing to win an outright majority, according to recent polling.

The Additional Members System (AMS) is designed to encourange cross-party co-operation and prevent one party from gaining a majority. However, the SNP ‘broke’ this system in 2011 by winning more than 50 per cent of seats in the Scottish Parliament.

With under two months until the Holyrood elections, 46 per cent of Scots are planning to vote for the SNP in the constituency vote, according to an Opinium poll conducted between March 11 and March 16.

In the regional list vote, support for the nationalists drops to around 42 per cent, which could give them 64 out of 129 seats – one short of a majority.

Due to the fact that the Green party are set to gain at least six seats, this means that there will still be a pro independence majority in parliament.

The poll also revealed that 51 per cent of Scots would support independence – against 49 per cent who say they would opt to remain part of the United Kingdom.

Opinium found that when voters were asked about the upcoming Holyrood elections, the SNP would get 46% of the constituency vote, Conservatives 24%, Labour 20%, Lib Dems 6% and the Greens 4%.

When casting their second vote for a representative for the electoral region, the poll puts the SNP on 42%, Tories on 22%, Labour on 19%, the Greens on 7% and Lib Dems on 5%.

While still giving the SNP a clear lead, the 46% who say they would vote for the SNP in their local constituencies represents the lowest proportion for the party in any poll since the 2019.

Every poll of 2020 recorded the SNP share of the constituency vote above 50%, peaking at 58% in September and October, suggesting that the SNP’s recent troubles, namely the Alex Salmond enquiry, have harmed their chances.

Voters across Scotland are split in their voting intentions, both in party preference and how to place their second vote as part of the regional list system.

Waitress and student Iona Brownlie, 21, is an undecided voter in the Stirling constituency.

She said: “I’m undecided as to who I’m voting for, I usually always am but this year is even more confusing.

“This past year has been so confusing when it comes to politics and I can’t help but think that moves made by MSPs have been politically motivated because they know there’s an election coming up.

“For example, the £500 to all NHS and care workers that wasn’t going to be taxed – I’ve read reports that have shown it was in fact taxed and people were genuinely surprised they’d even received it.”

Abigail Taylor, 23, is a digital journalist who will be casting her vote in the Western Isles.

She said: “I’ll be voting SNP this election due to the impacts of coronavirus and because I believe they have Scotland’s best interests at heart.

“I think that the opposition parties don’t have any ground here. The Scottish Labour Party are basically dead and the Lib Demss struggle to gain any traction.

“I live in a SNP stronghold so really, even if I didn’t vote for them, they are most likely to be elected.”

David King, 26, from Melrose, is a lorry driver who will vote for the Conservatives in the south of Scotland.

He said: “I’m voting Tory because they’re the only credible opposition to the SNP.

“It’s so important to focus on the issues that really matter, including the NHS and education. Pursuing another independence referendum should not even be on the agenda at the moment.”

KFC worker Lewis Fraser, 22, said: “I’m an independence supporter and I’ll be voting for the SNP with my constituency vote in Inverness in May.

“I believe that is the only option with my first vote and are likely to do very well in constituency voting. My second vote is more difficult due to the voting system, making it very difficult for the SNP to win list seats.

“I’ll be voting Action for Independence with my second vote to hopefully have as many independence supporters in Holyrood as possible.”

Euthanasia debate in Scotland: A slippery slope or a fundamental human right?

THE debate around the issue of assisted suicide is heating up ahead of the Scottish parliament elections later this year.

Controversial calls for a change in euthanasia laws are on the rise, with more than three quarters of Scots (76%) in support of parliamentarians debating the issue after May’s Holyrood elections.

The poll, commissioned by Humanist Society Scotland and Dignity in Dying Scotland, found that 87% of people are in favour of making assisted suicide an option for terminally ill people.

The news comes just weeks after former Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson announced that she has changed her stance on the issue – having previously voted against a bill to legalise assisted dying in 2015.

Alyson Thomson, director of Dignity in Dying Scotland, said: “The quality of life matters just as much as life itself.

“We are seeing a growing movement of support for our campaign, and more people are speaking out about the difficult choices which they sometimes face.”

Dignity in Dying Scotland only supports the option of assisted dying in Scotland for terminally ill people.

According to Mrs Thomson, the main argument against their campaign is that palliative care is a suitable alternative.

She said: “We absolutely support calls for more investment in palliative care, but it doesn’t work for everybody.

“Palliative care and assisted dying are not mutually exclusive and people should be allowed to die with dignity.”

Although only the Greens and the Liberal Democrats – who currently hold just ten out of the 129 seats in the Scottish Parliament between them – have a strong stance in support of the move to change euthanasia legislation, Mrs Thomson says “there is cross-party support” from a number of current MSPs.

A members’ bill tabled by former Deputy SNP leader Margo MacDonald was rejected in Holyrood in 2015, and the issue has not been debated in the Scottish Parliament since.

However, consecutive polls are now showing growing public support for the legalisation of assisted suicide in Scotland – with other western countries like Canada, and parts of the USA and Australia already practicing it to varying extents.

Chief executive of Humanist Society Scotland, Fraser Sutherland, said that the reasons for the change in public opinion over time include the changing demographics of the country, and the changing stances of medical bodies like the British Medical Association – who are now neutral on the issue.

He said: “Children born in the 60s and 70s are not bringing their children up to be religious in the same way that their parents did to them.”

New Zealand became the latest country to legalise assisted suicide for terminally ill patients with less than six months to live, becoming the first nation to put the matter to a nationwide vote.

More than 65% of votes cast were in favour of the bill.

However, assisted dying of any sort is illegal in the overwhelming majority of European countries, despite a growing dialogue in many.

Mr Sutherland added: “The cruel fact remains that individuals are continued to be denied choices at the end of their life in Scotland.

“Yet those rich and well enough are able to access such options by travelling abroad at great personal expense.

“This must change.”“The cruel fact remains that individuals are continued to be denied choices at the end of their life in Scotland.”

Calls for a change in the law have been criticised by Our Duty of Care, a campaign group run by doctors.

Dr Gillian Wright, of Our Duty of Care, agrees that individual autonomy is important, but thinks proposed changes to current legislation would go too far.

In a letter published in The Scottish Herald, she said: “People who are disabled or dependent are of extraordinary value and worth.

“Society should reaffirm this when they feel of little worth or dread dependence.

“When we acquiesce that some lives are not worth living, we are on a dangerous path indeed.”

Gillian Allinson, 44, a Humanist Society Scotland member, said: “I really believe it’s a fundamental human right and a matter of personal choice.

“Every person has the right to a good death – it’s not always possible but people should be allowed to take charge of their own end of life care.”

Tesco bakery worker Lara Frew, 22, from Stow, added: “If someone is really unwell and constantly in pain then it should be there choice to pass on in the way that they had hoped.”

Meanwhile, 25-year-old Calum Sutherland, at PPE student at the University of Stirling, said: “I draw a strong distinction between assisted dying and assisted suicide.

“Someone who suffers from depression can be effectively treated so as to provide a high quality of life, and should never be grounds for euthanasia.”

And Abby Wilson, 23, a post mortem support officer from Newtown St Boswells, said: “I think there are more suitable alternative to euthanasia, like palliative care.

“There are ways to kill the symptoms without killing the patient. To give doctors the right to decide whether patients live or die could lead to a very slippery slope.”

With the SNP pushing for a second independence referendum potentially as early as the end of 2021, and with opposition parties scrutinising them on their records in government – particularly on health and education – it is unlikely that assisted suicide will be a main election issue for any of the main parties.

However, if a members’ bill is introduced early in the next parliament, all MSPs who are elected in May will have to decide where they stand on the issue.

ScotRail shambles: Customers slam rail service amid ongoing delays

IN the latest in a long line of train troubles for Stirling, ScotRail data for January has revealed that more than forty per cent of services terminating in the city arrived late.

In a year plagued with cancellations, delays, and bus replacement services, the latest figures highlight that two in five ScotRail services are not arriving on time at the busy commuter hub.

In the figures published, a train is classified as late if it terminates a minute or more later than its expected arrival time.

A large number of Stirling residents commute from Edinburgh, Glasgow or further afield, and rely heavily on Scotrail to get them to work or university on time.

Three ScotRail users have given their thoughts on the current state of services.

ScotRail are reminding passengers that they can claim compensation when delays cause them to be delayed for more than half an hour.

A spokesperson said: “Transport Scotland has made us aware of the necessity to meet targets and expectations, and we will continue working towards that.”

Welcome to Thistle News

Hello and welcome to Thistle News – a new online platform designed to bring you all the latest news and coverage in the run up to the Scottish Parliament elections in May.

My name is Sam Ormiston and I am a freelance journalist based in Manchester. I moved here from Scotland in September to complete my NCTJ training at News Associates Manchester. I am particularly interested in political journalism and am fascinated about all things related to Holyrood, devolution and election coverage.

In this new venture, I will be bringing you a brand new podcast North of the Border in the coming weeks, with interviews from candidates around the country, and a weekly news bulletin of the biggest stories in Scottish politics.

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